Q. Europa League 2nd Round Final
Global 4-5
Utrecht vs Differdange 03 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
DIF
2 - 1
UTR
35%
25%
40%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
UTR
1 - 2
TWE
37%
25%
37%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2013 |
TWE
0 - 2
UTR
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
UTR
2 - 1
SCH
51%
23%
27%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
SCH
0 - 1
UTR
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Differdange 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
DIF
2 - 1
UTR
35%
25%
40%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2013 |
DIF
2 - 1
LAÇ
57%
22%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2013 |
LAÇ
0 - 1
DIF
37%
25%
38%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
PRO
1 - 2
DIF
19%
23%
59%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
DIF
6 - 2
RAC
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |