Utrecht vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
55.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
7º
18º
7º
56
2º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
91 | 91 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
84 | 84 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
6 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 19 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
VOL
1 - 0
UTR
22%
23%
56%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
UTR
0 - 2
ALM
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
NEC
3 - 0
UTR
31%
24%
45%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
HER
1 - 3
UTR
39%
24%
37%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
UTR
1 - 5
FEY
20%
22%
58%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
AJA
1 - 2
AZA
43%
24%
33%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
AEK
1 - 1
AJA
23%
22%
55%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
AJA
0 - 4
FEY
41%
23%
36%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
AJA
3 - 3
MAR
64%
20%
17%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
TWE
3 - 1
AJA
29%
24%
47%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |