Utrecht vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
59.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
UTR
1 - 1
TWE
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 2
UTR
17%
21%
62%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2021 |
NAC
3 - 2
UTR
20%
22%
58%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
UTR
0 - 0
GAE
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
PSV
4 - 1
UTR
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
AJA
5 - 0
FOR
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
FEY
0 - 2
AJA
31%
23%
45%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
AJA
4 - 0
BAR
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 48 | 40 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
AJA
1 - 2
AZA
59%
21%
20%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
AJA
4 - 2
SCP
51%
22%
27%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |