Utrecht vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
66.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
HER
4 - 1
UTR
23%
23%
55%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
FCD
2 - 4
UTR
7%
14%
79%
|
82 | 48 | 34 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
UTR
2 - 1
TWE
62%
22%
17%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
GRO
0 - 0
UTR
21%
23%
56%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
ZWO
3 - 3
UTR
24%
22%
54%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
MID
1 - 2
AJA
24%
21%
55%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
AJA
5 - 2
FOR
83%
12%
5%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
ATL
2 - 2
AJA
42%
22%
36%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
VVV
0 - 13
AJA
7%
14%
79%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
AJA
0 - 1
LIV
32%
23%
45%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |