Utrecht vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
62.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
UTR
5 - 1
SPA
65%
21%
15%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
UTR
2 - 0
AJA
17%
21%
62%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
RKC
2 - 1
UTR
6%
15%
79%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
UTR
2 - 1
TWE
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
WIL
1 - 1
UTR
31%
25%
45%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
SCH
1 - 3
AJA
12%
17%
71%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
UTR
2 - 0
AJA
17%
21%
62%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
AJA
0 - 2
AZA
71%
17%
12%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
AJA
2 - 1
GET
59%
22%
19%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
HER
1 - 0
AJA
11%
16%
73%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |