Utrecht vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
60.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2018 |
FEY
1 - 0
UTR
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
SCH
2 - 3
UTR
33%
24%
43%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
UTR
3 - 1
HER
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
EXC
3 - 3
UTR
20%
23%
57%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
UTR
5 - 0
GRA
67%
20%
14%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2018 |
RJC
1 - 1
AJA
12%
19%
69%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
AJA
8 - 0
GRA
84%
12%
4%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
AJA
3 - 3
BYM
16%
18%
66%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
ZWO
1 - 4
AJA
13%
19%
68%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
AJA
5 - 1
ADO
80%
14%
7%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |