Utrecht vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
53.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
UTR
1 - 1
FEY
33%
26%
42%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
UTR
1 - 1
AZA
32%
25%
43%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2018 |
UTR
4 - 3
AND
27%
24%
49%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
WUR
0 - 0
UTR
18%
22%
61%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
NAC
3 - 1
UTR
27%
26%
47%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
AJA
2 - 0
FEY
58%
21%
21%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
AJA
5 - 1
LYN
68%
19%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 2017 |
AJA
3 - 1
WIL
74%
16%
10%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
TWE
1 - 1
AJA
20%
22%
58%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
AZA
1 - 2
AJA
38%
24%
38%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |