Utrecht vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
60.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
RJC
1 - 0
UTR
38%
27%
36%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
NEC
1 - 0
UTR
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
UTR
2 - 5
FEY
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
GAE
2 - 1
UTR
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
BVO
0 - 2
UTR
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
GAE
0 - 1
AJA
14%
19%
67%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
AJA
3 - 1
FEY
65%
21%
15%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
AJA
1 - 0
PSV
54%
23%
23%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2014 |
GAL
2 - 1
AJA
35%
24%
41%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
RJC
1 - 2
AJA
15%
20%
66%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | +1 |