Utrecht vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
62.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
RJC
1 - 1
UTR
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2007 |
VVV
1 - 2
UTR
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
UTR
2 - 4
VIT
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
FEY
3 - 0
UTR
73%
17%
11%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
SCH
2 - 3
UTR
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
AJA
0 - 0
NEC
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
SPA
2 - 2
AJA
16%
21%
64%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2007 |
AJA
2 - 3
DZG
59%
21%
19%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
AJA
6 - 1
VVV
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
KOZ
1 - 2
AJA
1%
7%
92%
|
89 | 40 | 49 | -1 |