Utrecht vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
61.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
UTR
1 - 0
SCH
43%
26%
32%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
UTR
3 - 1
APE
63%
20%
17%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
HER
3 - 0
UTR
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
UTR
5 - 0
RKC
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
UTR
2 - 2
SPA
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2006 |
AJA
4 - 0
IKS
75%
17%
8%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
AJA
2 - 0
NEC
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
RKC
2 - 5
AJA
2%
9%
89%
|
88 | 10 | 78 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
RJC
2 - 0
AJA
18%
22%
60%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2006 |
IKS
2 - 5
AJA
24%
24%
52%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | -1 |