Utrecht vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
54.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
NAC
0 - 1
UTR
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
UTR
1 - 1
ADO
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
UTR
4 - 1
RBC
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
UTR
1 - 2
VVV
59%
22%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
SCH
1 - 1
UTR
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2005 |
AJA
2 - 1
SPA
64%
21%
15%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
AJA
2 - 0
TWE
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
NEC
1 - 0
AJA
16%
22%
62%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2005 |
THU
2 - 4
AJA
34%
25%
40%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2005 |
AJA
0 - 0
SCH
67%
20%
14%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |