Utrecht vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
39.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2002 |
UTR
0 - 0
NAC
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
TWE
2 - 0
UTR
35%
26%
38%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2002 |
UTR
3 - 2
AZA
70%
17%
13%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
AJA
1 - 0
UTR
72%
16%
12%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
RKC
1 - 2
UTR
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2002 |
NEC
0 - 2
AJA
22%
25%
54%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
AJA
2 - 0
BOS
77%
14%
9%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
AJA
1 - 0
UTR
72%
16%
12%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
SPA
0 - 4
AJA
13%
19%
68%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2002 |
AJA
3 - 0
PSV
50%
23%
27%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |