Utrecht vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
59.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1996 |
NAC
3 - 3
UTR
72%
18%
11%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
UTR
2 - 2
PSV
13%
20%
67%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
AZA
3 - 1
UTR
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
FOR
1 - 3
UTR
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
SPA
3 - 2
UTR
75%
16%
9%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1996 |
AJA
3 - 0
WIL
82%
13%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
TWE
1 - 1
AJA
27%
25%
48%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1996 |
AJA
0 - 1
GCZ
68%
19%
13%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
AJA
1 - 1
GRA
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
AJA
2 - 0
SPA
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |