Utrecht vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
51.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1991 |
UTR
1 - 3
RMA
21%
26%
53%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1991 |
UTR
1 - 1
FCD
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1991 |
VVV
1 - 1
UTR
40%
29%
31%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1991 |
UTR
3 - 1
RJC
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1991 |
UTR
3 - 1
STR
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1991 |
ERF
1 - 2
AJA
16%
21%
63%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1991 |
PSV
3 - 2
AJA
57%
22%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1991 |
AJA
4 - 0
SPA
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1991 |
ORE
0 - 1
AJA
22%
25%
54%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1991 |
AJA
3 - 1
FOR
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | +1 |