Utrecht vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
59.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1990 |
NEC
0 - 0
UTR
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1990 |
UTR
0 - 1
RJC
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1990 |
UTR
1 - 1
BOS
55%
24%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1990 |
WIL
0 - 0
UTR
53%
25%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
GRO
2 - 0
UTR
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1990 |
AJA
0 - 0
VOL
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1990 |
RKC
0 - 3
AJA
22%
22%
56%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1990 |
SPA
1 - 2
AJA
19%
24%
57%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1990 |
AJA
3 - 2
PSV
52%
23%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1990 |
MVV
1 - 0
AJA
16%
24%
61%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |