Utrecht vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
51.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1971 |
SHS
1 - 1
UTR
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1971 |
UTR
0 - 0
NAC
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1971 |
PSV
4 - 1
UTR
78%
13%
10%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1971 |
UTR
1 - 2
TWE
40%
23%
37%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1971 |
SPA
3 - 1
UTR
67%
17%
16%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1971 |
AJA
4 - 0
HFC
96%
3%
1%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1971 |
AJA
3 - 0
NAC
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1971 |
AZA
0 - 3
AJA
19%
25%
57%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1971 |
SHS
0 - 3
AJA
20%
26%
54%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1971 |
AJA
3 - 0
ATM
79%
13%
8%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |