Unterstrass vs Perlen-Buchrain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
20.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
9º
16º
15º
32
1º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 62% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 38% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unterstrass
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
SCE
2 - 2
FCU
43%
22%
35%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FCU
3 - 4
LOC
32%
22%
46%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FCC
3 - 0
FCU
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LUZ
0 - 2
FCU
38%
23%
40%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
FCU
0 - 4
RSZ
31%
23%
46%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Perlen-Buchrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
PER
1 - 3
BUO
24%
21%
55%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
PER
0 - 2
SCE
55%
21%
24%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LOC
2 - 0
PER
72%
17%
11%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
PER
0 - 1
FCC
23%
21%
56%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
PER
2 - 1
LUZ
57%
21%
22%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |