Unterstrass vs Goldau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.2%
21.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
9º
16º
15º
36
2º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 99% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unterstrass
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BUO
2 - 1
FCU
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
PER
2 - 1
FCU
37%
23%
40%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FCU
4 - 0
SCE
52%
21%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LOC
2 - 0
FCU
58%
20%
23%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FCU
1 - 3
FCC
40%
22%
38%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Goldau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
GOL
1 - 1
PER
37%
22%
41%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
SCE
4 - 0
GOL
56%
19%
25%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
GOL
2 - 4
LOC
27%
21%
52%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FCC
2 - 2
GOL
69%
16%
15%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
GOL
0 - 1
ZOF
40%
22%
39%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |