Europa League Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
FC Universitatea Craiova vs Kaiserslautern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Universitatea Craiova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1983 |
FCU
2 - 0
FCM
68%
18%
13%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1983 |
KAI
3 - 2
FCU
80%
14%
6%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1982 |
FCU
2 - 0
GIR
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1982 |
GIR
1 - 0
FCU
72%
17%
11%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1982 |
FCU
1 - 1
FCM
74%
16%
10%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Kaiserslautern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1983 |
KAI
2 - 1
BRE
65%
19%
17%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1983 |
FCN
1 - 1
KAI
37%
25%
38%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1983 |
KAI
3 - 2
FCU
80%
14%
6%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1983 |
BVB
4 - 0
KAI
53%
22%
25%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1983 |
KAI
3 - 2
EBT
74%
15%
10%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |