Europa League Semi-finals
Global 1-1
FC Universitatea Craiova vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
34.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Universitatea Craiova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1983 |
SLB
0 - 0
FCU
82%
13%
5%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1983 |
FCU
8 - 0
TIM
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1983 |
CHI
0 - 1
FCU
46%
28%
26%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1983 |
ASA
1 - 0
FCU
47%
27%
26%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1983 |
FCU
1 - 0
SPO
64%
21%
14%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1983 |
AMO
1 - 3
SLB
10%
19%
71%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1983 |
SLB
0 - 0
RIO
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1983 |
SLB
0 - 0
FCU
82%
13%
5%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1983 |
SLB
3 - 0
SCP
73%
18%
10%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1983 |
FCP
0 - 0
SLB
58%
22%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |