Union Berlin U17 vs 1. FC Magdeburg U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
8.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+162%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
6º
14º
11º
22
8º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 7 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 6 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 4 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
CZJ
2 - 4
FUB
11%
18%
71%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
FUB
1 - 1
FCE
88%
9%
4%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SVM
0 - 4
FUB
24%
21%
56%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FUB
1 - 3
HSV
25%
22%
54%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
STP
1 - 0
FUB
50%
22%
28%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
1. FC Magdeburg U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
FCM
2 - 4
STP
16%
20%
64%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
HBS
0 - 1
FCM
90%
8%
3%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FCM
2 - 2
CHE
21%
21%
58%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
H96
2 - 1
FCM
72%
17%
11%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FCM
1 - 4
DDS
19%
22%
59%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |