Union Berlin U17 vs Erzgebirge Aue U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.5%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.6%
3-0
12%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.6%
3.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-70%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
6º
14º
11º
6
13º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 7 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
6 | 6 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 4 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SVM
0 - 4
FUB
24%
21%
56%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FUB
1 - 3
HSV
25%
22%
54%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
STP
1 - 0
FUB
50%
22%
28%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
HAL
0 - 4
FUB
5%
11%
84%
|
23 | 8 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
FUB
0 - 1
CZJ
86%
10%
4%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FCE
0 - 1
HSV
5%
10%
85%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FCE
0 - 2
STP
9%
16%
75%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
HBS
3 - 2
FCE
93%
6%
2%
|
12 | 36 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FCE
0 - 2
CHE
19%
21%
60%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
H96
6 - 1
FCE
74%
15%
10%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |