FC Ulaanbaatar vs Tuv Azarganuud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
24%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
1º
4º
1º
33
3º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
68 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 54 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 42 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 36 |
6º
|
94.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Ulaanbaatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
DER
1 - 0
ULA
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
ULA
1 - 0
SPF
49%
20%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
KHC
0 - 2
ULA
19%
18%
63%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
ULA
9 - 1
BCH
89%
8%
3%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ERC
0 - 4
ULA
49%
21%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tuv Azarganuud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
TBF
2 - 1
ERC
43%
21%
36%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
KHC
4 - 5
TBF
30%
21%
49%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
DER
3 - 1
TBF
59%
19%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
TBF
2 - 3
KHA
87%
9%
4%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
SPF
6 - 1
TBF
53%
21%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |