FC Ulaanbaatar vs Brera Ilch FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.9%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.3%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.1%
5.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Ulaanbaatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2025 |
HFC
2 - 4
ULA
14%
16%
69%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
KHA
6 - 2
ULA
51%
21%
29%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
ULA
3 - 4
SPF
48%
22%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2025 |
ULA
4 - 1
DER
49%
22%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +2 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
KHO
2 - 3
ULA
37%
21%
42%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Brera Ilch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2025 |
BSI
2 - 5
SPF
12%
15%
73%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
DER
8 - 1
BSI
79%
13%
8%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
BSI
1 - 7
KHO
21%
18%
61%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2025 |
BSI
1 - 2
TBF
34%
20%
46%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2025 |
KHC
3 - 0
BSI
50%
20%
31%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |