FC Ulaanbaatar vs Brera Ilch FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.4%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.1%
8.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Ulaanbaatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
HFC
1 - 1
ULA
9%
14%
77%
|
31 | 8 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
KHA
0 - 2
ULA
55%
20%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
SPF
0 - 1
ULA
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
ULA
2 - 3
ERC
68%
16%
15%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
DER
1 - 1
ULA
52%
21%
27%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Brera Ilch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BSI
1 - 0
SPF
13%
16%
71%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DER
3 - 2
BSI
80%
12%
8%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BSI
0 - 2
KHO
22%
18%
60%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
BSI
2 - 4
KHA
13%
16%
71%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
ERC
2 - 5
BSI
83%
11%
7%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | +2 |