FC Ulaanbaatar vs Brera Ilch FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.9%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.2%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.1%
5.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Ulaanbaatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 8
ULA
9%
14%
77%
|
28 | 7 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ULA
1 - 3
SPF
49%
22%
30%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
KHA
2 - 1
ULA
41%
22%
37%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ERC
2 - 1
ULA
28%
21%
51%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ULA
5 - 1
DER
54%
21%
25%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Brera Ilch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2024 |
BSI
1 - 3
KHO
22%
18%
60%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
BSI
4 - 3
BFC
76%
14%
10%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SPF
6 - 1
BSI
80%
13%
8%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
KHA
4 - 1
BSI
85%
10%
6%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BSI
1 - 2
ERC
16%
16%
68%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |