FC Ulaanbaatar vs Brera Ilch FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
92.6%
Win probability
3.76
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.7%
7-0
3.1%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.8%
6-0
5.7%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.3%
5-0
9.1%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
12.2%
4-0
12.2%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.1%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
5.4%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
5.4%
1.8%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Ulaanbaatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
BFC
1 - 5
ULA
5%
10%
85%
|
31 | 10 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
ULA
0 - 2
SPF
51%
21%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
KHA
0 - 2
ULA
15%
17%
68%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
ULA
1 - 2
DER
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
KHA
2 - 5
ULA
16%
18%
66%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Brera Ilch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
BSI
2 - 3
KHO
9%
13%
78%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BSI
1 - 4
BFC
49%
21%
30%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
SPF
6 - 1
BSI
91%
7%
2%
|
9 | 33 | 24 | 0 |