Ueberstorf vs Lommiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.1%
4.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+3994%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
9º
10º
31
13º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ueberstorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FCU
0 - 0
LER
60%
19%
22%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
DUD
1 - 0
FCU
47%
21%
32%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FCU
2 - 1
TAV
41%
23%
36%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
OLD
3 - 0
FCU
80%
12%
8%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FCU
3 - 1
ALL
58%
19%
23%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lommiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FCL
0 - 1
DUD
7%
12%
81%
|
7 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TAV
2 - 0
FCL
87%
9%
4%
|
7 | 31 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FCL
0 - 6
OLD
7%
12%
82%
|
9 | 41 | 32 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ALL
2 - 2
FCL
89%
8%
4%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FCL
0 - 2
STA
48%
21%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |