Twenty 11 vs Nomads Utd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.3%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
77.1%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.5%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
10º
10º
10º
24
4º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twenty 11
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
12 - 0
FCT
93%
5%
2%
|
7 | 40 | 33 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
FCT
0 - 9
NSF
7%
11%
82%
|
8 | 22 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
NSF
3 - 1
FCT
92%
6%
2%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 5
CHR
4%
9%
86%
|
9 | 46 | 37 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
FER
6 - 1
FCT
87%
9%
4%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Nomads Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
NOM
2 - 0
DUN
56%
20%
25%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
CHR
3 - 0
NOM
82%
11%
7%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SUF
0 - 3
NOM
18%
18%
64%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NOM
4 - 1
NSF
33%
20%
47%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
NOM
1 - 4
COA
41%
21%
38%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |