Twente U21 vs Excelsior Maassluis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
70.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.1%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
KOZ
2 - 0
TWE
90%
8%
2%
|
21 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
TWE
0 - 1
HHC
8%
13%
79%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
KAT
0 - 1
TWE
90%
8%
2%
|
21 | 51 | 30 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
TWE
2 - 3
ALK
17%
19%
64%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2016 |
SPA
4 - 2
TWE
72%
16%
13%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
EXC
0 - 0
DET
60%
22%
19%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
LIE
1 - 1
EXC
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
KOZ
0 - 3
EXC
58%
23%
20%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
EXC
3 - 0
HHC
44%
24%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
TIE
0 - 2
EXC
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |