Twente vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
21.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
ADO
1 - 1
TWE
28%
26%
46%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
TWE
1 - 0
SCH
34%
25%
41%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 1
TWE
27%
25%
48%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
TWE
0 - 2
FEY
24%
24%
52%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ZWO
1 - 2
TWE
41%
26%
34%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
EXC
0 - 2
WIL
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
WIL
1 - 1
AZA
22%
23%
55%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
VIT
0 - 2
WIL
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
WIL
1 - 3
HER
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
WIL
3 - 2
SPA
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |