Twente vs Willem II analysis

Twente Willem II
83 ELO 68
0.5% Tilt 0.4%
115º General ELO ranking 421º
Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
72.9%
Twente
18.4%
Draw
8.7%
Willem II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
Twente
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
8.7%
Win probability
Willem II
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Twente
-6%
-18%
Willem II

ELO progression

Twente
Willem II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Twente
Twente
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Dec. 2008
PSG
PSG
4 - 0
Twente
TWE
58%
22%
21%
84 86 2 0
14 Dec. 2008
GRO
Groningen
1 - 4
Twente
TWE
35%
27%
39%
83 76 7 +1
06 Dec. 2008
TWE
Twente
6 - 2
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
63%
21%
16%
83 67 16 0
03 Dec. 2008
TWE
Twente
2 - 1
Schalke 04
S04
34%
27%
40%
83 88 5 0
29 Nov. 2008
ADO
ADO Den Haag
1 - 2
Twente
TWE
20%
26%
54%
83 61 22 0

Matches

Willem II
Willem II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Dec. 2008
WIL
Willem II
1 - 2
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
39%
27%
34%
68 79 11 0
07 Dec. 2008
WIL
Willem II
1 - 3
Heerenveen
SCH
32%
25%
44%
69 80 11 -1
29 Nov. 2008
HER
Heracles
1 - 0
Willem II
WIL
47%
27%
26%
70 66 4 -1
23 Nov. 2008
WIL
Willem II
3 - 0
Groningen
GRO
37%
25%
38%
68 78 10 +2
15 Nov. 2008
ADO
ADO Den Haag
0 - 1
Willem II
WIL
41%
27%
32%
68 62 6 0