Twente vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
8.7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2008 |
PSG
4 - 0
TWE
58%
22%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
GRO
1 - 4
TWE
35%
27%
39%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
TWE
6 - 2
SPA
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2008 |
TWE
2 - 1
S04
34%
27%
40%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
ADO
1 - 2
TWE
20%
26%
54%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
WIL
1 - 2
NEC
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
WIL
1 - 3
SCH
32%
25%
44%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
HER
1 - 0
WIL
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
WIL
3 - 0
GRO
37%
25%
38%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
ADO
0 - 1
WIL
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |