Twente vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
TWE
1 - 2
PSV
23%
23%
54%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
TWE
0 - 2
SPA
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
TWE
3 - 0
RKC
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
NAC
1 - 2
TWE
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1996 |
PSV
2 - 0
TWE
74%
16%
11%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
WIL
0 - 1
AJA
24%
24%
52%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
WIL
2 - 0
NAC
51%
23%
26%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1996 |
UTR
0 - 0
WIL
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
WIL
2 - 2
SCH
49%
23%
28%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
WIL
3 - 1
GRO
57%
23%
21%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |