Twente vs Willem II analysis

Twente Willem II
80 ELO 76
11.6% Tilt 23.2%
116º General ELO ranking 421º
Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
67.5%
Twente
20.1%
Draw
12.3%
Willem II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
Twente
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
12.3%
Win probability
Willem II
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Twente
-6%
-20%
Willem II

ELO progression

Twente
Willem II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Twente
Twente
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 1995
TWE
Twente
1 - 2
Roda JC
RJC
52%
24%
24%
81 81 0 0
15 Feb. 1995
TWE
Twente
1 - 1
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
81%
13%
6%
81 63 18 0
10 Feb. 1995
SCH
Heerenveen
1 - 4
Twente
TWE
36%
25%
39%
81 72 9 0
27 Jan. 1995
TWE
Twente
3 - 3
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
70%
18%
12%
81 70 11 0
21 Jan. 1995
FCD
Dordrecht
1 - 2
Twente
TWE
20%
24%
56%
81 57 24 0

Matches

Willem II
Willem II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Feb. 1995
WIL
Willem II
1 - 2
Feyenoord
FEY
31%
26%
44%
76 85 9 0
10 Feb. 1995
VOL
FC Volendam
0 - 0
Willem II
WIL
53%
25%
22%
76 72 4 0
04 Feb. 1995
WIL
Willem II
1 - 0
MVV Maastricht
MVV
64%
20%
17%
75 71 4 +1
29 Jan. 1995
UTR
Utrecht
0 - 0
Willem II
WIL
46%
28%
26%
75 69 6 0
21 Jan. 1995
WIL
Willem II
3 - 0
Groningen
GRO
68%
19%
13%
74 71 3 +1