Twente vs Willem II analysis

Twente Willem II
80 ELO 72
6.3% Tilt 5%
116º General ELO ranking 421º
Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
68.9%
Twente
19.8%
Draw
11.3%
Willem II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
Twente
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
11.3%
Win probability
Willem II
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Twente
-6%
-20%
Willem II

ELO progression

Twente
Willem II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Twente
Twente
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Feb. 1993
GRO
Groningen
1 - 1
Twente
TWE
46%
26%
28%
80 77 3 0
24 Jan. 1993
FEY
Feyenoord
1 - 1
Twente
TWE
60%
22%
18%
80 84 4 0
20 Jan. 1993
TWE
Twente
5 - 0
Den Bosch
BOS
71%
18%
11%
79 65 14 +1
16 Jan. 1993
MVV
MVV Maastricht
2 - 0
Twente
TWE
42%
27%
31%
80 76 4 -1
04 Dec. 1992
AJA
Ajax
0 - 1
Twente
TWE
71%
18%
11%
79 88 9 +1

Matches

Willem II
Willem II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Feb. 1993
WIL
Willem II
2 - 0
Fortuna Sittard
FOR
65%
20%
15%
71 67 4 0
23 Jan. 1993
WIL
Willem II
1 - 1
Groningen
GRO
55%
24%
21%
71 77 6 0
17 Jan. 1993
VIT
Vitesse
2 - 0
Willem II
WIL
61%
24%
15%
72 82 10 -1
20 Dec. 1992
WIL
Willem II
0 - 2
Feyenoord
FEY
38%
28%
34%
72 83 11 0
13 Dec. 1992
VOL
FC Volendam
5 - 1
Willem II
WIL
53%
26%
21%
73 71 2 -1