Twente vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
20.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1991 |
VIT
1 - 0
TWE
57%
24%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1991 |
TWE
2 - 1
SVV
51%
27%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1991 |
SPA
1 - 3
TWE
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1991 |
SCH
0 - 1
TWE
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1991 |
TWE
1 - 1
RKC
54%
26%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1991 |
WIL
3 - 2
FOR
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1991 |
FEY
0 - 1
WIL
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1991 |
VIT
2 - 0
WIL
59%
24%
18%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1991 |
WIL
3 - 2
AJA
21%
25%
55%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1991 |
WIL
5 - 0
ADO
53%
23%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +2 |