Twente vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
63.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
2º
6º
5º
75
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
67 | 67 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
64 | 64 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 19 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
18 | 18 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
TWE
4 - 0
EXC
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
VOL
1 - 0
TWE
28%
24%
47%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
TWE
0 - 0
FIO
34%
27%
40%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
FIO
2 - 1
TWE
63%
19%
18%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
TWE
3 - 0
FOR
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
PSV
7 - 1
VOL
77%
15%
9%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
EXC
1 - 6
PSV
12%
18%
70%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
PSV
0 - 1
GLA
71%
17%
12%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
GLA
2 - 2
PSV
22%
22%
56%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
GAE
2 - 5
PSV
11%
18%
72%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | +1 |