Twente vs PSV analysis

Twente PSV
69 ELO 89
4.5% Tilt 9.4%
116º General ELO ranking 104º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
18.7%
Twente
23.3%
Draw
58%
PSV

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
Twente
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
58.1%
Win probability
PSV
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Twente
-5%
+9%
PSV

ELO progression

Twente
PSV
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Twente
Twente
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Mar. 1986
TWE
Twente
4 - 1
MVV Maastricht
MVV
58%
24%
18%
69 62 7 0
15 Mar. 1986
AZA
AZ Alkmaar
1 - 0
Twente
TWE
57%
23%
20%
69 75 6 0
22 Dec. 1985
EXC
Excelsior
2 - 2
Twente
TWE
48%
25%
27%
70 65 5 -1
15 Dec. 1985
TWE
Twente
2 - 2
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
50%
25%
25%
70 74 4 0
08 Dec. 1985
NEC
NEC Nijmegen
0 - 2
Twente
TWE
49%
26%
25%
69 61 8 +1

Matches

PSV
PSV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 1986
PSV
PSV
1 - 1
Ajax
AJA
49%
23%
28%
88 88 0 0
09 Mar. 1986
EXC
Excelsior
0 - 1
PSV
PSV
15%
23%
63%
88 64 24 0
21 Dec. 1985
PSV
PSV
2 - 1
Den Bosch
BOS
83%
11%
6%
88 75 13 0
15 Dec. 1985
HFC
HFC Haarlem
0 - 2
PSV
PSV
20%
23%
57%
88 72 16 0
08 Dec. 1985
UTR
Utrecht
0 - 3
PSV
PSV
22%
24%
54%
88 74 14 0