Twente vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
13.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
VVV
2 - 2
TWE
13%
20%
67%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ADO
1 - 3
TWE
23%
26%
51%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
TWE
2 - 0
RJC
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
TWE
1 - 1
NAC
67%
21%
13%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
GRO
0 - 3
TWE
21%
26%
53%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
NEC
1 - 3
ZWO
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 0
NEC
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
NEC
1 - 1
AZA
25%
26%
50%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
AJA
4 - 1
NEC
77%
15%
8%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
NEC
1 - 3
SCH
30%
25%
45%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |