Twente vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
14.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1986 |
AJA
6 - 0
TWE
91%
6%
3%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
TWE
3 - 1
FOR
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1986 |
BOS
2 - 1
TWE
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
TWE
0 - 0
HFC
52%
25%
24%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
GRO
5 - 1
TWE
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1986 |
NEC
3 - 0
HER
57%
23%
19%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
NEC
0 - 0
AJA
11%
20%
70%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1986 |
VVV
0 - 3
NEC
63%
23%
14%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 1986 |
NEC
0 - 0
FOR
48%
28%
23%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1986 |
MVV
0 - 1
NEC
60%
24%
16%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |