Twente vs Jong Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
TWE
4 - 2
FEY
18%
23%
59%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
VOL
2 - 0
TWE
38%
25%
37%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
TWE
2 - 1
NAC
41%
27%
33%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
TWE
4 - 0
ADO
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
RJC
2 - 1
TWE
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Jong Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
BOS
0 - 2
JON
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2003 |
TIE
0 - 3
JON
14%
20%
66%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2003 |
IJS
0 - 3
JON
25%
23%
51%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
EXC
4 - 2
JON
77%
14%
9%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
JON
2 - 1
WIL
26%
24%
50%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |