Twente vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
35.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
PSV
5 - 2
TWE
74%
16%
10%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
OSS
0 - 2
TWE
15%
20%
65%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
TWE
1 - 2
NEC
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
TWE
1 - 1
WIL
37%
26%
38%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
GRO
1 - 1
TWE
33%
28%
39%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
HER
0 - 0
AJA
11%
17%
71%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
ASW
1 - 3
HER
6%
14%
79%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
ZWO
1 - 0
HER
28%
25%
47%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
GAE
4 - 2
HER
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
HER
3 - 2
WIL
38%
25%
37%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |