Twente vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
37.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2016 |
GNK
3 - 2
TWE
52%
24%
25%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
VIT
5 - 1
TWE
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
TWE
2 - 1
GRA
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 1
TWE
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
TWE
1 - 3
WIL
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
HER
2 - 1
GRO
41%
26%
34%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
HER
2 - 3
PSV
27%
23%
50%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
HER
1 - 1
VIT
36%
25%
39%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
FEY
3 - 0
HER
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
UTR
4 - 2
HER
47%
23%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |