Twente vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
FEY
3 - 1
TWE
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
TWE
3 - 2
WIL
59%
23%
19%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2014 |
GRA
2 - 4
TWE
25%
23%
52%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
PSV
2 - 0
TWE
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 2
TWE
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
HER
0 - 3
EXC
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2015 |
BRU
1 - 0
HER
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
VIT
3 - 0
HER
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2014 |
HER
0 - 3
BVO
43%
24%
33%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2014 |
HER
1 - 1
FCD
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |