Twente vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2011 |
KAI
4 - 1
TWE
31%
27%
43%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2010 |
TWE
5 - 0
VIT
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
SCH
6 - 2
TWE
28%
26%
47%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2010 |
TWE
3 - 3
TOT
33%
24%
44%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
TWE
2 - 0
GRA
73%
18%
10%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2010 |
HER
2 - 2
VVV
61%
22%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
PSV
5 - 2
HER
77%
15%
8%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
HER
2 - 1
UTR
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
VIT
2 - 0
HER
44%
26%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
HER
3 - 0
GRO
29%
24%
47%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |