Twente vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
5.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
TWE
3 - 2
OBK
66%
20%
15%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
TWE
2 - 2
PSV
48%
24%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
TWE
4 - 3
GEN
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
GRO
1 - 1
TWE
19%
23%
58%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
OBK
1 - 4
TWE
30%
26%
44%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
GRA
0 - 1
VIT
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
DET
1 - 5
GRA
30%
25%
45%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
GRA
3 - 1
NAC
32%
26%
42%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 1
GRA
76%
16%
8%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
HER
2 - 0
GRA
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |