Twente vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2007 |
AJA
2 - 2
TWE
72%
18%
11%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
SCH
1 - 2
TWE
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
TWE
1 - 1
VVV
68%
19%
12%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
VIT
2 - 2
TWE
35%
28%
37%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
TWE
2 - 1
AZA
33%
25%
42%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2007 |
WIL
1 - 2
GRA
40%
25%
35%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
GRA
1 - 1
NEC
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
HER
2 - 0
GRA
32%
26%
42%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
GRA
0 - 1
PSV
26%
26%
49%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
SCH
2 - 3
GRA
66%
19%
15%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |