Twente vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
TWE
4 - 0
WIL
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1999 |
AZA
2 - 1
TWE
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
TWE
3 - 3
FEY
29%
26%
46%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1999 |
TWE
3 - 2
SPA
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
PSV
2 - 2
TWE
81%
12%
7%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
FOR
2 - 2
NEC
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
FOR
1 - 1
GRA
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1999 |
UTR
2 - 1
FOR
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
MVV
1 - 0
FOR
35%
26%
40%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1999 |
EXC
3 - 2
FOR
32%
24%
44%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |