Twente vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
14.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1991 |
UTR
1 - 1
TWE
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1991 |
TWE
3 - 0
GRA
74%
18%
8%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1991 |
GRO
1 - 2
TWE
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1991 |
TWE
1 - 1
RKC
52%
26%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1991 |
TWE
0 - 1
VOL
62%
23%
15%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1991 |
FOR
0 - 0
WIL
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1991 |
FOR
2 - 2
UTR
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1991 |
GRA
2 - 0
FOR
39%
28%
34%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1991 |
FOR
2 - 2
GRO
33%
29%
38%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1991 |
FOR
2 - 5
PSV
15%
24%
62%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |