Twente vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
TWE
1 - 1
KON
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
TWE
1 - 2
SOU
26%
26%
47%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
TWE
3 - 3
ALT
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
TWE
0 - 2
PAO
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
TWE
0 - 1
FCN
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
EXC
0 - 3
ESP
26%
25%
49%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
FCO
2 - 0
EXC
18%
21%
62%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
HEL
1 - 2
EXC
27%
23%
51%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
GAE
1 - 0
EXC
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
CAP
0 - 1
EXC
9%
17%
74%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |